pass-through effects of global food prices on consumer prices in iran

نویسندگان

ebrahim javdan

department of agricultural economics, university of tabriz, iran (corresponding author: [email protected]). jafar haghighat

professor, department of economics, university of tabriz, iran ([email protected]). esmaeil pishbahar

department of agricultural economics, university of tabriz, iran ([email protected]). phillip kostov

university of central lancashire, lancashire, uk ([email protected]). rassul mohammadrezaei

چکیده

t he objective of this study is using the markov switching vector autoregressive method and regime dependent impulse response functions to measure the pass-through of world food prices to consumer price index in iran from 1990 to 2013. with respect to information criteria and the log-likelihood ratio statistic, msia(2)-var(1) model has a better fit to data than other models. the magnitude of the pass-through in first and second regimes is respectively 0.43 and 0.94 after two years. we show that the magnitude of the pass-through from world food prices to consumer price index resulting from recent world food price shocks has been higher than before.

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عنوان ژورنال:
iranian economic review

جلد ۲۱، شماره ۱، صفحات ۱۶۹-۱۸۰

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